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    November 12

    提前N久唱空

      两星期前就已经觉得快要见顶,跟老婆说起这事,后来来势汹汹的回调让我觉得我是不是对了,谁知这一周涨势那个猛啊,这几天不仅仅把前面跌的都涨了回来,昨天都创出了新高。

      我都已经不好意思再跟老婆提起这一轮股市将会见顶的事了,但是哪里有这种涨法的,涨的越快,吸引的人越多,套得也就越高,特别是从美国标普500(SPX500)上看,符合几乎所有牛市见顶的前期特性,现在要的只是时间,看如何走完后面一部分,让老大们出手多一些,让无辜的人套得多一些。

      要么还有另一种可能:现在只是一轮特大牛市的早期阶段,这样子也能够make sense。

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